4 articles
Iran is losing every military engagement against the US and Israel. It does not matter. Every day the Strait of Hormuz stays closed, 20 million barrels of oil have nowhere to go, storage fills, wells get permanently destroyed, and the damage becomes irreversible. Iran does not need to win. It needs to survive.
Wall Street currently views the Strait of Hormuz blockade as a temporary logistical delay, capping oil at $90. They are ignoring the devastating geological reality of what happens when Gulf storage runs out and high-pressure wells are violently shut in.
With 20 percent of global oil trapped in the Persian Gulf, Wall Street believes military escorts will restore order. But shipowners are rejecting the US Navy, exposing a fatal flaw in how modern financial markets price asymmetric warfare.
A military conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran hasn't physically closed the Strait of Hormuz. Instead, London insurance underwriters have frozen global shipping via exorbitant premium hikes.