Markets & Money • 9 min read

The Street Says $8T. SpaceX Just Hit an All-Time Low.

SpaceX joined the Nasdaq-100 on July 7, forcing index funds to buy it. The next morning SPCX hit an all-time low. Morgan Stanley says the stock is worth up to $8 trillion; Morningstar says $62. The gap is the whole story.

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Tech & Innovation

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Dell Hiked PCs 20%. Lenovo, HP, Acer, ASUS Are Next.

Dell raised commercial PC prices 15 to 20 percent in mid-December. Lenovo and ASUS followed in early January. IDC now reports all five major OEMs are signaling another 15 to 20 percent hike for the second half of 2026. DDR5 spot prices are up roughly 70 percent year-over-year, and memory makers are reallocating capacity to AI data centers. The buyer pays the difference.

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AI & Automation

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Fable 5 Lasted 3 Days. One 5:21pm Letter Shut It Down

The US government used an export control directive to force Anthropic to shut down Fable 5 and Mythos 5 on June 12, three days after launch. The claimed jailbreak, per Anthropic: asking the model to fix software bugs. Two days earlier, Anthropic had publicly asked for exactly this kind of government power.

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EVs & Mobility

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Tesla Promised 4 Million Cars Could Self-Drive. They Can't.

Tesla confirmed on its Q1 2026 earnings call that Hardware 3 cannot achieve unsupervised Full Self-Driving. Roughly 4 million cars are affected. The fix requires replacing the computer and cameras, and Tesla plans to build micro-factories to handle the volume. Meanwhile, HW4 Plus was announced in the same call, starting the same hardware obsolescence cycle over again.

View all EV posts → New interactive: Which EV is right for you? 9 questions, 2 minutes — your top 3 matches, new or used, ranked and explained. Plus an honest call on whether you should buy an EV at all. Find my EV →

Energy & Policy

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Trump Gave Iran an Oil License, Then Killed It in 15 Days

On June 22, the US Treasury quietly made buying Iranian crude legal through August 21. Fifteen days later it revoked the license. The paperwork tells a colder story than the ceasefire headlines: the deal was a supply valve, opened to crush a wartime oil premium and shut the moment the price fell.

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America Bombed Iran for a Month, Then Greenlit $300 Billion

The United States went to war to end Iran's nuclear program. The deal it signed on June 17 commits to lifting every sanction, clears the way for at least $300 billion to rebuild Iran, and leaves that program standing. The decision was not made on the battlefield. It was made in the oil market, where a closed Strait of Hormuz threatened to drag the West into recession.

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Pakistan Got Iran to Yes. Trump Burned It in 5 Days.

On April 7, Pakistan's Prime Minister and army chief talked Trump out of a threatened civilization-ending bombing run and into a two-week ceasefire on terms Iran wrote. Five days later, Trump posted an AI image of himself as Jesus, attacked the Pope for opposing the war, and ordered a naval blockade. The ceasefire died. The CIA now gives Trump 90 days to deal. The problem is no longer finding a mediator. It is finding a mediator who will stake their reputation on Trump's word after April 13.

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Markets & Money

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Bitcoin Miners Are Quietly Becoming AI's Landlords

A dead Kentucky aluminum smelter, idled in 2022 because electricity got too expensive, just became the site of a 20-year, $19 billion AI lease with Anthropic. Its new owner is a Bitcoin miner. Across the sector, miners have signed tens of billions of dollars in AI hosting deals, not because they learned to build AI, but because they already own the one thing money cannot buy fast: an energized grid connection. Here is how weakness got repriced as scarcity, and where the real risk hides.

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Picks & Reviews

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